Insights for action, for global investors
Most Recent Commentary
Gag Treasury, You Gag the Market, Too
Like any issuer of securities, the department is itself part of the market.
Most Recent Media Appearance
Fedspeak Isn’t Helping Markets—or the Fed
Donald L. Luskin is correct in his op-ed “Warsh Is Wise to Ditch the Dots” (Aug. 17) that the Federal Reserve should abandon forward guidance, and the examples he provides of its negative outcomes are persuasive. Some may counter that Fedspeak isn’t meant to provide indefinite guidance. Rather, the central bank’s public statements serve only as the Fed’s best assessment of the near-term macroeconomic trajectory. Moreover, such information provides immediate clarity to markets, they contend, especially during turbulent episodes.
On that front, too, recent examples show forward guidance to be counterproductive…
Most Recent Recommended Reading
Client Sign-In
Access exclusive content for institutional clients of TrendMacro. Enter your user name and password below, or request access.
- On the August Jobs Report
- US Jobs
- What you’re not hearing about how AI causes inflation