On Powell for Fed Chair

http://www.trendmacro.com/system/files/reports/20171102TrendMacroLuskin-T9.pdf
Donald L. Luskin
Thursday, November 2, 2017
Trump’s most timid appointment – a market shock avoided, but an opportunity missed.
Strategic view: 

Powell for Fed chair is a timid low-risk choice that takes a potential shock to markets off the table. But it is a missed opportunity to reform a key global financial institution with a swamp-drainer like Warsh. Conservative darling Taylor may yet be vice chair, his highest use. Powell is bought into the elite mantra of “secular stagnation,” and believes that a return to pre-Great Recession growth rates is impossible. If he is proven wrong about that, he is vulnerable to influence by Fed staff to tighten policy in response to false fears of a Phillips Curve trade-off between employment and inflation. Powell has no apparent commitment to deregulation, but that is Quarles’ remit anyway.

Market(s):